448 pages; ISBN-10: 0465094627; ISBN-13: 978-0465094622. WHAT’S INSIDE Book details Scott E. Page The Model Thinker: What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You. Scott E. Page is one of my favorite writers. Sep 1, 2017 - [This post is part of a series dedicated to the free online Model Thinking course. John Seely Brown Distinguished University Professor of Complexity, Social Science, and Management at the University of Michigan, and the Williamson family Professor of Business Administration, professor of management and organizations, Stephen M. Ross School of Business; professor of political science, professor of complex systems, and professor of economics, LSA. https://sites.lsa.umich.edu/scottepage/home/the-model-thinker Models help us to understand, explain, predict, and act. My niece, who is an economics undergraduate student, took the Model Thinking course. Scott Page, author and Professor of Complex Systems at the University of Michigan, explains the power of mental models. We buy amazing businesses. University of Michigan Center for the Study of Complex Systems 318 West Hall Ann Arbor, MI 48106, USA. He’s also an entrepreneur and a technical phenomenon, serving as CEO for a master project called Think:EXP. Scott E Page introduces the Granovetter model, where we have people who care about the size of movements, and movements with some of these people as members. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical,... (展开全部) From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. Beautifully written, this book teaches us how to stay logical, coherent and effective at work and at life more broadly–amidst a world awash in ever more data, distraction and complexity.”—, “Page explains the value of applying several models to a single problem, and then provides a conceptual toolkit for doing so. Page was inducted into the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 2011. It describes dozens of models in straightforward language and explains how to apply them…. You yourself are not going to create world peace. The book summarizes and extends the material covered in the online course and promotes a "many-model thinking" [clarification needed] approach to confronting complex problems. It’s strategic and there’s no best thing you can do unless you happen to know where the other person was. The world is a complex place. Collective intelligence is where the whole is smarter than any one individual in it. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren’t enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In this accessible and pragmatic book, Page persuasively shows us how in these transition periods we can use the wisdom of crowds to improve our decision-making. My guest today is Scott Page (@Scott_E_Page,) Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics at the University of Michigan. 18.56 USD. Available for shipping November 27, 2018. One of the nice things that both those models tell us is that there’s no best answer. But at the same time, if you can’t, if that’s just not your style, that doesn’t mean there’s no place for you in the modern economy. View Scott Page’s profile on LinkedIn, the world’s largest professional community. Learn more or sign up now: 2021 Farnam Street Media Inc. All Rights Reserved. I think you can’t make a difference in the world, you can’t go out there and do good, you can’t take this knowledge and this wisdom and make the world a better place unless you’ve acquired a set of useful tools, not only individually, but also they’ve got to be collectively useful. Needless to say, these lecture notes are by no means a substitute for his awesome course. If you want to better understand how we see the world, uncover creative solutions, or solve complex problems this episode is for you. His book is a labor of love.”—, “With the exception of physics, science–and particularly the social sciences–currently resides in a liminal period characterized by hints of universal principles and the tantalizing possibility of robust prediction. Model Thinking | The official course blog for Scott E. Page's class on Coursera.org. ABSTRACT. A great basketball player isn’t someone of great ability, it’s someone who loves practicing basketball. Your brain just isn’t going to be big enough. We're Syrus Partners. Lecture Intro, Part 2: “Intelligent Citizens of the World”: “George Box: ‘essentially all models are wrong, but some are useful'” |=: Agree! See our Privacy Policy.Farnam Street participates in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising commissions by linking to Amazon. The reason you want diverse people in the room is because different people bring different basic assumptions about how the world works, they construct different mental models of how the world works, and they’re going to see different parts of a problem. MANY MODEL THINKING. And I'd like to welcome you to a new version of Model Thinking. See all other posts related to this course here.] You can think of it that in a predictive context, this could be the wisdom of crowds sort of thing where people guessing the weight of a steer, the crowd’s guess is going to be better than the average guess of the person in it. Some lecture notes/ scribble on Model Thinking by Scott E. Page. You yourself are not going to solve climate issues. It’s based in Los Angles and described by Scott as “a live immersive […] When they used a crowd, the crowd was like, no, it’s going to sell 200,000 units. #55] Scott Page, author and Professor of Complex Systems at the University of Michigan, explains the power of mental models. They force you to say what really matters here in terms of driving people’s behaviors or firms’ behaviors — how do those behaviors interact, how do they aggregate, and then how should people respond to that? Any errors and omissions in these notes are naturally entirely my own, and all credit for the content goes to Scott. We see political uprisings, market crashes, and a never ending array of social trends. Scott’s research has focused primarily on the value of cognitive diversity in complex systems. “Model Thinker” by Page represents a single volume encompassing many facets of Complexity, Complex Adaptive Systems, and more. My attention wandered far more than I thought it would. While we were hoping to present a review much earlier during the year, due to various reasons and also perhaps due to the wealth of information presented in the book, it has taken us a while to develop this review. That said, I found it rather difficult to get through. He is also the author of five books, including The Model Thinker, The Difference, and The Diversity Bonus. Here are a few highlights from our discussion: I think models force you to get the logic right. 20 quotes from Scott E. Page: 'diverse teams make better mousetraps. Hatchett Book Group. To read excerpt and to purchase, CLICK HERE. But collections of people by having different ensembles of models, creating a larger ensemble of models actually have a hope of addressing these problems. A huge difference. Professor Page certainly introduces some interesting concepts in The Model Thinker. Awards. Using models to think more clearly might be the biggest reason … You’ve really got to enjoy the practice of the thing you’re doing. The linear model said, this printer is going to sell, let’s say 400,000 units. In a complex world, your ability to succeed is going to depend on you filling a niche that’s valuable, which as in Barabasi’s book, it could be connecting things, it could be pulling resources and ideas from different places, but it’s going to be filling a niche and that niche could take all sorts of different forms. Scott has 4 jobs listed on their profile. Hosted by Pressable. Scott Page: Becoming a Model Thinker [The Knowledge Project Ep. The various models accentuate different ……. I think that the challenge is to become a more nimble thinker, is to be able to move across these models. Oct 26, 2016 - Scott Page "Model Thinking: One to Many and Many to One" March 14, 2015 170 Denison Ann Arbor, Michigan He asserts that the models we each hold in our heads have the power to contribute to something special and truly meaningful if cultivated properly. According to her, the course helped her develop sharper questioning and thinking about framing problems, and then ways of solving them. It’s just going to happen. In 2018, Page published The Model Thinker with Basic Books. Get transcripts, early access, ad-free episodes, and so much more. If you don’t get a job, if you don’t get a scholarship, if you don’t get into grad school, it’s not because somebody was better than you. https://www.amazon.com/Model-Thinker-What-Need-Know/dp/0465094627 Just a little everyday-obervation: it’s funny how often people use right/ wrong in the context of abstraction (i.e. You’re going to win relative to how someone else is, so it’s more like a game. Scott E. Page is the John Seely Brown Distinguished University Professor of Complexity, Social Science, and Management at the University of Michigan, and the Williamson family Professor of … PRE-ORDER NOW AVAILABLE. The nice thing that comes out of that is this calming sensation. You yourself are not going to solve the obesity epidemic. ', 'For each individual among the many has a share of excellence and practical wisdom, and when they meet together, just as they become in a manner one man, who has many feet, and hands, and senses, so too with regard to their character and thought. Professor Scott Page is teaching a class on "Model Thinking" starting January 2012. http://www.modelthinker-class.org/ Since that time, more than a half a million people have taken the course. \Model Thinking" by Scott E. Page, Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Brace yourself for an entirely new perspective.”—, “The clarity of Scott’s thinking has been awing me since our days together as doctoral students at Kellogg. If you want to better understand how we see the world, uncover creative solutions, or solve complex problems this episode is for you. No, it just happens to be that they were positioned better than you and that’s fine. Nimble Thinker, the crowd saying, “ Why do you think this printer is not going sell! Of that is this calming sensation to get the logic right entrepreneur and a never ending array social. So by simplifying reality or by constructing artificial analogs contrary, it ’ s got ability. ] PRE-ORDER NOW AVAILABLE sep 1, 2017 - [ this post part... Of the thing you ’ re doing, MI 48106, USA free online Model Thinking analogs. Happen to know where the other person was a substitute for his course!, let ’ s say 400,000 units, in 2012 and there ’ s no best thing you ’ really. 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